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D-III College Championships 2018: Pool Predictions

The seedings and pools we expect to see.

After two exciting weekends of Regionals, we now have the full field of teams and the latest rankings update from USA Ultimate. It’s time to start thinking about what the seeding and pools might look like for Nationals.

This is the third year that Regionals finish does not bind seeding at Nationals. Please note that we do our best to follow USA Ultimate’s guidelines for seeding: USAU’s post-Regionals rankings are very heavily weighted and head-to-head wins matter only at the margin. We generally try to avoid regional matchups, a common practice in Division III seeding.

Women’s Division

POOL APOOL BPOOL CPOOL D
Williams (1)Bates (2)Puget Sound (3)Oberlin (4)
Mount Holyoke (8)RPI (7)Wesleyan (6)Amherst (5)
Georgia College (12)Pacific Lutheran (11)Lehigh (10)St. Olaf (9)
Claremont (13)North Park (14)Rice (15)Catholic (16)

1. Williams

Williams sits at the top of the USA Ultimate rankings. The only possible wrinkle may be that they’re 1-1 with Bates this season, but most recently won 11-7 at Regionals whereas they lost 8-7 in March. It’s very likely that Williams will take the No. 1 seed going into the tournament for the 3rd year in the row.

2. Bates

Hot on Williams’ heels in the rankings sits Bates at #2, 30 points back.

3. Puget Sound

Over 100 points below the combo of Williams/Bates, Puget Sound is a lock for the #3 slot

4. Oberlin

After winning the Ohio Valley region with a 11-4 stomping of Lehigh, Oberlin takes #4 in the rankings and in seeding.

5. Amherst

While Amherst did take a head-to-head loss to Mount Holyoke this season, the 50 point ranking differential should be enough to bring them in at #5.

6. Wesleyan

Wesleyan is a tight 18 points ahead of RPI in the rankings, with a split 1-1 series. However, they did win the most recent match up at Regionals, and they have been gaining traction in the offseason. They should end up just in front of RPI.

7. RPI

Losing in their most recent matchup to Wesleyan will likely land RPI just behind their Metro East rivals.

8. Mount Holyoke

A mere 8 points behind RPI in the rankings, Mount Holyoke is likely bound to end up behind them (and Wesleyan) in the rankings at #8.

9. St. Olaf

Ranked 9th, St. Olaf should fall into the same seed.

10. Lehigh

Lehigh is technically five points below Pacific Lutheran, but to avoid a Regional rematch in pool play, we expect them to bump Lehigh up to the #10 seed.

11. Pacific Lutheran

Clearly either the #10 or #11 seed. We put them here to avoid the rematch with Puget Sound in pool play.

12. Georgia College

80 points below Lehigh, we’ve got Georgia College nabbing the 12 seed, just below their 2017 finish of 11th place.

13. Claremont

While they earned the Southwest bid via end of season rankings, Claremont is ranked 17th in the pre-Nationals rankings.

14. North Park

Just behind Claremont at 19th in the rankings, North Park will likely take the 14th seed.

15. Rice

Further down the rankings at 24th sits Rice, and will likely be seeded at #15.

16. Catholic

Ranked 46th, Catholic closes out the seedings.

Men’s Division

POOL APOOL BPOOL CPOOL D
Bryant (1)Air Force (2)Middlebury (3)John Brown (4)
Richmond (8)Whitman (7)Carleton GOP (6)Mary Washington (5)
Georgia College (12)North Park (11)Missouri S&T (10)Bowdoin (9)
Puget Sound (13)Oberlin (14)RPI (15)Occidental (16)

1. Bryant

Bryant kicks off a year of very simple seeding — with clear delineations between teams in the rankings and few relevant head-to-head results, there’s not much tricky. Bryant is ranked #1 and they will get the #1 seed.

2. Air Force

Despite Air Force’s loss at Regionals, they should still get the #2 seed at Nationals thanks to a potent regular season and a #2 USAU ranking.

3. Middlebury

Middlebury is ranked #3.

4. John Brown

John Brown is ranked #4.

5. Mary Washington

Mary Washington is 50 points clear of GoP.

6. Carleton GoP

Ranked #6.

7. Whitman

Whitman is just one point behind GoP, but there is no reason to move them past them.

8. Richmond

Richmond is ranked #8.

9. Bowdoin

Our first departure from the rankings! Bowdoin is about 70 points behind Missouri S&T, but putting them in Pool D avoids the rematch with Middlebury.

10. Missouri S&T

Will clearly go #9 or #10.

11. North Park

The next team up in the rankings.

12. Georgia College

Ranked #20.

13. Puget Sound

Another flip-flop. We put Puget Sound ahead of Oberlin to avoid a Regional rematch.

14. Oberlin

Will go at #13 or #14.

15. RPI

Ranked #32.

16. Occidental

Ranked #48.

  1. Sam Echevarria
    Sam Echevarria

    Sam Echevarria has been playing ultimate since 2010, starting with the Centerville HS Outsiders and later the Claremont Colleges Greenshirts. Currently based in Madison, WI, her focus is covering the DIII Womens division. You can reach her on twitter (@sechevarria27).

  2. Michael Ball
    Michael Ball

    Michael Ball is the Men's DIII College Editor for Ultiworld. You can reach him by email (mball2293@gmail.com) or on Twitter @mike_ball423

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